A closer look at the votes in the city council

That pheu Thai Party has a strong reason to celebrate. Move forwardif it wants to celebrate too, must do so with caution. Despite previous promises, Democrats still have work to do. palangPracharaths was very afraid very much aggravated.

That’s how thorough mathematically Analysis of the city council elections paints the political landscape of Bangkok. The results of choice is acceptedare a better barometer of political party popularity than the result of the governor’s poll, which appears to be delivering mixed messages due to the landslide winner Chadchart Sittipuns Decision to run as an independent and the possibility of two candidates under the prayer The administration may have withdrawn votes from each other.

pheu Thai that everyone knows is backed up Chadchart, did very well in the city assembly elections, winning 620,009 votes, or over 26% of the turnout. The party emerged victorious from Bangkokbeating Move Forward (485,830 votes), the Democrats (348,852) and palang Pracharath(274,970) in process.

pheu In the 2019 general election, Thai won 604,699 votes in Bangkok. Back then 3,102,280 Bangkokians cast their votes. In other words, the largest opposition party had 19.49% of the votes.

That the party got more votess this time despite a lower turnout (just over 2,635,000 Bangkokians participation in city council elections) is a tremendous achievement. This has also lent weight to claims that the party ranks third in terms of popular votes in Bangkok in 2019 was caused by the Thai Raqsa Chart spin-off disaster. The 604,699 votes in 2019 were followed by 804,272 votes won by Future Forward (now Move Forward), the Bangkok champion at the time in terms of citywide votes, and 791,893 votes won by Future Forward (now Move Forward). palang PracharathParty.

That’s why Move Forward can’t be entirely happy, even though it won the second most seats in the city council elections. The number of votes won (485,830 or 20.93%) is a significant decrease from 2019 (804,272 or 25.93%). Adding to the concerns must be the fact that two Men serving under Prime Minister prayer Chan-o-cha ad compete separately for the governorship of Bangkok would beat Move Forward’s candidate if the votes were combined for the duo.

Bangkok’s new governor carries an enormous burden of expectations and promises

The Democrats, on the other hand I have seen a situation that has remained practically unchanged, but which is nonetheless worrying. The party received 474,820 votes from Bangkok in the general election in 2019 or 15.31%. This time in the city council election, it has 15.03%. Considering that up until the 2019 humiliation, the party was generally the dominant force in Bangkok that performance in the Election to the City Council, which showed no improvement, remains a major concern.

The Democratic Party appeared to do well in previous popularity polls, likely helped by the party’s decline palang Pracharath party and the image of the party leader Jurin Laksan visitwhat is decent compared to those of other government coalition leaders. But the city assembly elections seem to indicate that the Democrats would go into the general election as a big underdog in Bangkok.

You don’t have to worry too much palangPracharath, although. The largest governing coalition party received just 11.85% of the vote in the City Council versus 25.53% the general election in Bangkok in 2019. This time, palang Pracharath won in just two constituencies compared to pheuThaif 20, Move forward’s 14 and Democrats 9.

The city assembly election shows the palangPracharaths Bangkok gate for the next general election is not to retake control, but to try not to die out. Worse, to continue to ally with the Democrats would help little.

A pheu The Thai move forward combo would almost certainly provide the capital for the opposition bloc at the next general election. Her rivals’ hope would have to rest on Bangkok’s main political feature as that most fickle Population in Thailand and it could be just weeks, not months or years, until an absolutely swinging from one party to the other or from one camp to the opposite side.

So what’s likely to happen now? pheu Thai seems to be the only party that can “play it safe”. It’s unwise to do anything dramatic that’s going ons the risk of the tide turning. The party’s rivals and enemy Move Forward don’t have that luxury. You need drastic measures and probably desperate too.

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